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September 25, 2005

The Greenspan Put

Tightening aimed (indirectly, of course!) at asset bubbles will be
reversed, big time, if and when those bubbles pop.

This is the Greenspan Put !

-- Paul McCulley.

As explained at Pimco:

Put more technically, the value of the Greenspan Put will rise
exponentially if the curve inverts, while the cost of "buying"
that Put will actually become negative: in an inverted curve,
a duration-equal barbell of cash and long bonds yields more than
a bulleted portfolio. Such is the weirdness of an inverted curve:
the less volatile, convex barbell structure actually yields more
than the more volatile, less convex bullet. Rather than paying
for insurance, you get paid for taking it!

Posted by omor at September 25, 2005 12:07 PM

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