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October 31, 2005
Fooled by Randomness 2005
One of the best conference programs for quantitative risk
analysis: Fooled by Randomness 2005. text, PDF.
Posted by omor at 01:32 AM | Comments (0)
October 30, 2005
Who needs Prop 79 for drugs in California ?
Proposition 79 would use the purchasing power of the State of
California to negotiate the best price for up to ten million
Californians, who now pay more than anybody else in the world
for prescription drugs.
* Prop. 78 is completely voluntary for drug companies: they
are free to choose whether or not to offer discounts.
* Prop. 79 has an enforcement mechanism. If a drug company
refuses to provide discounts, the state can shift business away
from that company and buy more from other drug companies that
offer discounts.
Above is from the so-called Better California campaign site for
Prop 79 *.
Klingian Question of the Day:
What is preventing buyers from comparison shopping
between drug companies, either now or under Prop 78 ?
Posted by omor at 12:34 PM | Comments (0)
October 29, 2005
Yokohama AVS Intermediate tires for sale
Four Yokohama AVS Intermediate tires
195-60-15
Summer tires, grippy high performance
The best two:
The most worn two:
Listed on eBay
Also listed on:
SCCA Forums
Posted by omor at 01:42 AM | Comments (0)
October 28, 2005
Kumho VictoRacer Tires for sale
For sale.
Kumho VictoRacer V700
205-50-15
Autocross competition tires.
New! Unshaved. Super condition.
Listed eBay.
Stacked:
.
Listed also on:
NorthAmericanMotoring
Solo2
SCCA Forums
Posted by omor at 01:17 AM | Comments (0)
October 27, 2005
Google News Report USA Score
Fetch headlines from Google News on a schedule, then rank
headlines by factors:
* appearance day and time,
* prominence on the google news page,
* number of appearances,
* others;
weighted to estimate referer traffic these links bring to their
source.
Listed are the top scoring stories in recent time periods, followed
by a ranking of sources. More detailed reports are linked-to at the
bottom of each table.
[*]
Posted by omor at 02:38 PM | Comments (0)
October 26, 2005
Dave Cross, data munger
Dave Cross, London based perl guy, has long been in my pingoshere.
Picks up on techs trends, not ASAP, but as they start crossing the
chasm. And summarizes them.
Also a fierce advocate for good customer service, with
emphasis on forthcoming non-deceitfulness over pampering.
And lefty local pantser.
About 'data munger': see Data Munging with Perl.
Posted by omor at 09:52 PM | Comments (0)
October 25, 2005
Legislating from the bench
* Any judicial ruling overturning a law is in wrong, that judges
can only decide what a law means not whether or not it is
Constitutional, so that any ruling overturning a previous ruling
that made new law is simply restoring order to the land. That
negating something doesn't bring anything else into existence.
* State legislatures and Congress are the only ones with the
authority to intepret the Constitution and that they also have the
power to change it whenever they choose, without having to resort
to a Constitutional amedment.
[*]
Previously on lancemannion: Orson Scott Card.
Posted by omor at 11:57 AM | Comments (0)
October 24, 2005
Dahlia: fans and non-fans
Dahlia Lithwick, Slate-based legal commentator, has her fans and
her detractors.
Posted by omor at 04:12 AM | Comments (0)
October 23, 2005
Nouriel Roubini
Nouriel Roubini's first rate economics blog offers an
essay of macroeconomic commentary about weekly.
Quick off the mark with commentary on new Fed Chairman
nominee on Ben Bernanke.
Previously: Roubini Global Economics.
Posted by omor at 07:54 PM | Comments (0)
October 22, 2005
Carnival of the Capitalists at Drakeview
Drakeview hosts Carnival of the Capitalists 104th weekly
business punditry roundup.
Posted by omor at 09:18 PM | Comments (0)
October 21, 2005
Tires Sold
Some tires are still available and are still for sale.
The tires blow have been sold.
BridgeStone Blizzak WS-50
195-55-16 inch
4 with 99 % tread
$300 eBay
Blizzak 185-65-15 ws50 snow ice tires on steel MINI rims with covers
4500 miles, excellent condition. Set of four.
$300 eBay, northamericanmotoring
Posted by omor at 11:57 PM | Comments (0)
October 20, 2005
Daily Howler
Daily Howler chronicles the errors and omissions of beat reporters.
It should run as as series of footnotes below the broad pages of
the main stream media, as law review footnotes run below the
simplified article text, or better, as mash up with a Joel, Tom,
and Crow providing counter-commentary below the official
broadcast.
Example: Chief Justice Robert's proletarian roots vs Vice-President
Gore's agrarian roots.
Posted by omor at 05:15 AM | Comments (0)
October 19, 2005
Credit Risk Models II: Structural Models. (Elizalde)
Credit Risk Models II: Structural Models
July 2005
The structural approach for modelling credit risk considers both
the case of a single firm and the case with default dependences
between firms.
In the single firm case, we review the Merton (1974) model and
first passage models, based on Black & Cox (1976), examining
their main characteristics and extensions. The issue of estimating
structural models is also addressed, covering the different ways
proposed in the literature.
The issue of estimating structural models is also addressed,
covering the different ways proposed in the literature.
Secondly, we model default dependences among firms, which account
for two types of default correlations: cyclical default correlation
and contagion effects. We close with a brief mention of factor models.
The paper guides readers throught the literature, providing a
comprehensive list of references and, along the way, suggesting
different possible extensions for its future development.
[PDF]
Abel Elizalde of CEMFI and Universidad Pública de Navarra
Posted by omor at 02:04 AM | Comments (0)
October 18, 2005
Northern Voice, Moose Camp
A must for high volume social networkers and consumers and producers
of information, and self-promoters. 2006 Feb 10-11, Vancouver.
Friday will be a little more unorthodox for regular conference goers.
In the spirit of Foo Camp and Bar Camp, Northern Voice includes a
whole self-organized day dedicated to Moose Camp.
Posted by omor at 08:32 PM | Comments (0)
October 17, 2005
Smart Economist
Smart Economist short shart briefings.
* Sample paper: What Determines International Migration Flows ?
* Sample topic: FINANCIAL MARKETS & INSTITUTIONS
Posted by omor at 11:39 PM | Comments (0)
October 16, 2005
Explain ia: An Exercise in Clarity
What exactly is an “Information Architect” or “Information Architecture” ?
Explain it in 10 words or less. And then, take all the words you
need to explain the difference between an information architect and
a designer (not an artist, but a designer).
-- 37signals
Posted by omor at 09:28 PM | Comments (0)
October 15, 2005
Joint regression analysis
Joint regression analysis to study genotype-environmental interaction,
genotype effects and/or interaction effects within individual
environments are related to environmental effects.
The interaction sum of squares is divided into two parts:
* one part represents the heterogeneity of linear regression
coefficients while
* the second represents the pooled deviations from individual
regression lines.
Posted by omor at 10:31 AM | Comments (0)
October 14, 2005
housing map 2
census track vs google map mash up.
via Google Maps Mania. Previously: Craigslist housing map mashup.
Posted by omor at 06:44 PM | Comments (0)
October 13, 2005
Toll road to Silicon Valley ?
As part of a long-term plan to improve traffic flow on I-680, the
Alameda County Congestion Management Agency has concluded that it is
feasible to convert of a section of the southbound carpool lane to a
Smart Carpool Lane or High Occupancy Toll (HOT) Lane.
Carpools would continue to use the lane for free while solo drivers
could use the lane for a fee that would vary depending on the level
of congestion in the Smart Lane. The fee is intended to make excess
capacity available to paying motorists while guaranteeing a
reasonable travel time for all users of the lane.
Posted by omor at 01:29 AM | Comments (0)
October 12, 2005
themessthatgreenspanmade / Tim
The mess that Greenspan made: example: how China's investment in the USA in 2005
is different from Japan's investment in the USA in 1985.
Posted by omor at 10:29 AM | Comments (0)
October 11, 2005
Blogroll NYT headlines
NYT headline index.
Posted by omor at 12:44 PM | Comments (0)
October 10, 2005
infoproc / Steve
Infoproc (Steve) is a physicist interested in economic inference.
Example: exporting risk.
Posted by omor at 08:09 PM | Comments (0)
October 09, 2005
Voluntary Exchange
Voluntary Exchange is a small econ and public policy blog.
Posted by omor at 05:15 PM | Comments (0)
October 08, 2005
New Kind of Music
An Experiment in A New Kind of Music: WolframTones.
Program and diagram your own ringtones, and more, systematically.
Posted by omor at 01:29 PM | Comments (0)
October 07, 2005
Decembrist: fear of a coherent vision
Decembrist (Mark Schmitt) offers essay-length laments.
Examples: The confessional, Fear of a coherent Democrat vision;
video game paradigm.
Posted by omor at 10:43 PM | Comments (0)
October 06, 2005
Consumer Shorts
The Stalwart rounds up the non-retailing shorts and shares the gloom
for the consumer economy.
Posted by omor at 09:42 PM | Comments (0)
October 05, 2005
US Mid-West economy
Bill Testa covers the US Mid-West economy for the
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Where is the Mid-West ?
Posted by omor at 01:08 PM | Comments (0)
October 04, 2005
A Fistful of Euros
A Fistful of Euros eurocentric blog: example.
Posted by omor at 02:37 PM | Comments (0)
October 03, 2005
Odlyzko on Network economics
The greater ability of modern business leaders to keep at distance
from the actual criminal acts they induce may be a reflection of
what they have learned from the experience of their predecessors
in white-collar crime in the last century and a half. But it also
likely reflects the greater complexity of business, which has led
to separation of functions into sales, legal, accounting, and many
other specialized areas.
Other papers.
Posted by omor at 10:45 PM | Comments (0)
October 02, 2005
Bankstocks / Tim Brown
Bankstocks' daily and occasional news on banking, and investing
in banks.
Posted by omor at 02:05 AM | Comments (0)
October 01, 2005
Not wise to smartly argue when you're wrong
The de-emphasis of wisdom is an east vs. west dichotomy: eastern
philosophy heavily emphasizes deeper wisdom, where as the post
enlightenment west, and perhaps particularly America, heavily
emphasizes the intellectual flourishes of intelligence.
Scott Berkun in Why smart people defend bad ideas.
Posted by omor at 08:08 PM | Comments (0)